| NEWSWEEK POLL: Majority Wants Dems to Win Congress; 31 Percent of White Evangelicals Would Vote for Democratic Candidate in Their District Bush Approval at 35 Percent; 56 Percent Say President Won't be Able to Get Much Done In Remainder Of Term 74 Percent Support Dems On Drug Pricing, Including 70 Percent Of Republicans; 68 Percent Support Dems On Hike In Minimum Wage, Including 53 Percent Of GOP 65 Percent of Americans Say U.S. Losing Ground in Iraq; Terrorism Trails As Issue Behind Iraq, Economy, Health Care NEW YORK, Oct. 21 /PRNewswire/ -- With just over two weeks before midterm elections, a majority of Americans, 55 percent, say that they would most like to see the Democrats take control of Congress, according to the October 19-20, 2006 Newsweek Poll; 32 percent would rather see Republicans keep control.
If the elections were held today, 55 percent of likely voters would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district, versus 37 percent who would vote for the Republican. When broken down by voting blocs, 60 percent of white Evangelicals say they would support the Republican candidate, while 31 percent would back the Democrat. That compares to exit polls after the 2004 elections that found Republican Congressional candidates carried white Evangelicals over Democrats, 74 percent to 25 percent. Similarly, Democrats now lead among white Catholics, a group that went for President George W. Bush in the 2004 presidential election. Now 44 percent of white Catholics plan to vote Democratic for Congress versus 42 percent who plan to vote Republican. Among Independents, 44 percent support the Democrat in their district, while 34 percent support the Republican, according to the new Newsweek Poll.
More than half of Americans-56 percent, including 23 percent of Republicans-believe that President Bush won't be able to get much done for the rest of his second term; 33 percent say he can still be effective. President Bush's approval rating remains low-35 percent; 57 percent of Americans say they disapprove of how Bush is handling his job as president. Sixty-seven percent say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States; only 25 percent say they are satisfied. According to the poll, 49 percent of Americans think that it doesn't matter much whether the president's political party also has a controlling majority in Congress or if one party controls the White House while the other controls Congress.
On the subject of how to prioritize certain issues if the Democrats take control of Congress for the next two years, 74 percent of those polled say that allowing the government to negotiate directly with pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices for seniors should be a top priority-including 70 percent of Republicans. Sixty-eight percent of Americans say that increasing the minimum wage should be a top priority. When broken down by political party, 81 percent of Democrats and 53 percent of Republicans believe that is the case. Fifty-eight percent of Americans polled say that investigating government contracts in Iraq should be a top priority. A majority of those polled-52 percent-say that investigating questions about the decision to go to war with Iraq should be a top concern. When broken down by political party the numbers drastically differ-68 percent of Democrats say that it should be a top concern, whereas only 28 percent of Republicans say so.
Forty-four percent of those polled feel that broadening the kinds of stem cell research that can receive federal funding should be a top priority; 38 percent say that a top issue should be rolling back some of the Bush tax cuts. Sixty-two percent of those polled say that investigating charges of impropriety or wrong-doing by members of Congress should be a top priority and 28 percent say that impeaching George W. Bush should be a top concern. Fifty- two percent of Americans polled say that new rules to limit the influence of lobbyists should be a top priority. Fifty-two percent of those polled say that enacting all the recommendations of the 9/11 commission should be their top priority, while 30 percent say it should have lower priority.
Sixty-five percent of Americans say that the United States is losing ground in its efforts to establish security and democracy in Iraq, an all time low in the Newsweek Poll. Fifty-four percent feel that the U.S. did not do the right thing in taking military action against Iraq; 39 percent say it was the right action.
When asked which issue is most important in deciding their vote for Congress this year, 31 percent of Americans polled say the situation in Iraq is most important; 18 percent say the economy; 16 percent say healthcare and 13 percent say terrorism. Seven percent of those polled say gas and oil prices and immigration are the most important issues and 2 percent say local issues in their area.
For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,000 adults aged 18 and older on October 19-20, 2006. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. This poll is part of the October 30 issue of Newsweek, on newsstands Monday, October 23. To interview Chief of Correspondents Marcus Mabry on the poll, call Natalia Labenskyj at 212-445-4078 or Andrea Faville at 212-445-4859.
Newsweek Poll Priorities for a Democratic Congress Princeton Survey Research Associates International Final Topline Results (10/21/06) N = 1,000 national adults, 18 and over Margin of error: plus or minus 4 Interviewing dates: 10/19-20/06 SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR KEY SUBGROUPS: 282 Republicans (plus or minus 7) 349 Democrats (plus or minus 6) 330 Independents (plus or minus 7) SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS: 903 Registered voters (plus or minus 4) 578 Likely voters (plus or minus 5) (definition noted below) 264 Republicans (plus or minus 7) 321 Democrats (plus or minus 7) 282 Independents (plus or minus 7) 219 White Evangelical Protestants (plus or minus 8) 241 White Non-Evangelical Protestants (plus or minus 8) 161 White Catholics (plus or minus 9) 137 Non-whites (plus or minus 10) 429 Men (plus or minus 6) 474 Women (plus or minus 5) NOTES: Data is weighted so that sample demographics match Census Current Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race, region, and population density.
Reported sample sizes are unweighted and should not be used to compute percentages.
Likely voters are determined based on response to a series of questions about voting intentions, voting history, general interest in politics, interest in the 2006 election, and knowledge of the voting process. Likely voters are the 59% of registered voters with the highest score on an index summarizing response to the likely voter questions.
An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than 1%.
LV1, LV2, LV4-LV9 ARE FOR CLASSIFICATION PURPOSES ONLY. RESULTS ARE NOT SHOWN.
LV3. How much thought have you given to this November's elections for U.S. CONGRESS- quite a lot, or only a little? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Quite a lot/Some Only a little/None DK Current 61 38 1 =100 Republicans 61 38 1 =100 Democrats 62 38 * =100 Independents 59 40 1 =100 2006 Trends (RVs) (10/5-6/06) 47 52 1 =100 (8/24-25/06) 34 65 1 =100 (8/10-11/06) 30 68 2 =100 2002 Trend (RVs) (10/24-25/02) 49 50 1 =100 1998 Trend (RVs) (10/8-9/98) 48 51 1 =100 Note: "Some" and "None" are volunteered responses. 1a/b. Suppose the elections for U.S. CONGRESS were being held TODAY ... Would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate (ROTATE) for Congress in your district? [IF OTHER/ UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward... the Republican or the Democrat (ROTATE)? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Rep/Lean Rep Dem/Lean Dem Undecided/Other Current Total 37 51 12 =100 Likely voters 37 55 8 =100 Republicans 92 6 2 =100 Democrats 4 92 4 =100 Independents 34 44 22 =100 White Evangelical Prot. 60 31 9 =100 White Non-Evan. Prot. 35 52 13 =100 White Catholics 42 44 14 =100 Non-whites 19 72 9 =100 Men 41 45 14 =100 Women 33 57 10 =100 2006 Trends (RVs) (10/5-6/06) 38 51 11 =100 (8/24-25/06) 38 50 12 =100 (8/10-11/06) 39 51 10 =100 (5/11-12/06) 39 50 11 =100 (3/16-17/06) 39 50 11 =100 2005 Trends (RVs) (11/10-11/05) 36 53 11 =100 (9/29-30/05) 42 47 11 =100 (9/8-9/05) 38 50 12 =100 2002 Trends (RVs) (10/24-25/02) 46 43 11 =100 (10/10-11/02) 43 43 14 =100 (9/26-27/02) 40 47 13 =100 (9/12-13/02) 43 41 16 =100 (8/28-29/02) 40 45 15 =100 June 2002(1) 44 46 10 =100 February 2002 46 45 9 =100 1998 Trends (RVs) (10/8-9/98) 43 45 12 =100 (9/24-25/98) 43 48 9 =100 (9/10-11/98) 43 45 12 =100 (8/20-21/98) 41 47 12 =100 (1) June and February 2002 trends from Pew Research Center. Questions 2 and 3 were asked in random order. 2. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time? Satisfied Dissatisfied DK Current Total 25 67 8 =100 Trends(2) (10/5-6/06) Foley scandal 25 67 8 =100 (8/24-25/06) 28 65 7 =100 (8/10-11/06) 26 67 7 =100 (5/11-12/06) NSA wiretapping 23 71 6 =100 (3/16-17/06) 30 64 6 =100 (11/10-11/05) 26 68 6 =100 (9/29-30/05) 31 61 8 =100 (9/8-9/05) Hurricane Katrina 28 66 6 =100 (8/2-4/05) 36 54 10 =100 (12/2-3/04) 46 46 8 =100 (10/27-29/04) 39 56 5 =100 (10/21-22/04) 40 56 4 =100 (10/14-15/04) 40 55 5 =100 (9/30-10/2/04) 38 57 5 =100 (9/9-10/04) 39 53 8 =100 (9/2-3/04) 43 49 8 =100 (7/29-30/04) 36 58 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 40 54 6 =100 (5/13-14/04) Prisoner abuse scandal 30 62 8 =100 (4/8-9/04) 36 59 5 =100 (1/22-23/04) 43 52 5 =100 (1/8-9/04) 46 47 7 =100 (12/18-19/03) Saddam's capture 46 47 7 =100 (10/9-10/03) 40 54 6 =100 (4/03) Iraq War 50 41 9 =100 (9/02) 41 55 4 =100 (7/02) 46 46 8 =100 (9/01) Terrorist attacks 57 34 9 =100 (6/01) 43 52 5 =100 (3/01) 47 45 8 =100 (1/01) 55 41 4 =100 (6/00) 47 45 8 =100 (3/00) 56 36 8 =100 (8/99) 56 39 5 =100 (9/98) 54 42 4 =100 (1/97) 38 58 4 =100 (3/96) 28 70 2 =100 (6/95) 25 73 2 =100 (8/94) 24 71 5 =100 (6/92) Recession 14 84 2 =100 (3/91) Gulf War Victory 66 31 3 =100 (9/90) 37 58 5 =100 (9/88) 56 40 4 =100 (11/85) 51 46 3 =100 (12/81) Recession 27 67 6 =100 (7/79) Energy/Economic Crisis 12 84 4 =100 (2) Trends from 4/03, 9/02, 6/00-6/01 and 6/95-8/99 from Pew Research Center, 7/79-6/92 from Gallup 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Approve Disapprove DK Current Total 35 57 8 =100 Trends(3) (10/5-6/06) 33 59 8 =100 (8/24-25/06) 36 56 8 =100 (8/10-11/06) 38 55 7 =100 (5/11-12/06) 35 59 6 =100 (3/16-17/06) 36 58 6 =100 (11/10-11/05) 36 58 6 =100 (9/29-30/05) 40 53 7 =100 (9/8-9/05) 38 55 7 =100 (8/2-4/05) 42 51 7 =100 (3/17-18/05) 45 48 7 =100 (2/3-4/05) 50 42 8 =100 (12/2-3/04) 49 44 7 =100 (10/27-29/04) 46 47 7 =100 (10/14-15/04) 47 46 7 =100 (9/30-10/2/04) 46 48 6 =100 (9/9-10/04) 48 44 8 =100 (9/2-3/04) 52 41 7 =100 (7/29-30/04) 45 49 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 48 46 6 =100 (5/13-14/04) 42 52 6 =100 (4/8-9/04) 49 45 6 =100 (3/18-19/04) 48 44 8 =100 (2/19-20/04) 48 44 8 =100 (2/5-6/04) 48 45 7 =100 (1/22-23/04) 50 44 6 =100 (1/8-9/04) 54 41 5 =100 (12/18-19/03) 54 38 8 =100 (11/6-7/03) 52 40 8 =100 (10/9-10/03) 51 42 7 =100 (8/21-22/03) 53 36 11 =100 (7/10-11/03) 55 37 8 =100 (5/29-30/03) 61 28 11 =100 (5/1-2/03) 65 26 9 =100 (4/10-11/03) 71 23 6 =100 (3/27-28/03) 68 26 6 =100 (3/13-14/03) 53 37 10 =100 (2/6-7/03) 61 31 8 =100 (1/16-17/03) 56 33 11 =100 (11/7-8/02) 60 30 10 =100 (9/12-13/02) 70 23 7 =100 (8/28-29/02) 61 30 9 =100 (6/27-28/02) 70 19 11 =100 (3/21-22/02) 74 16 10 =100 (1/31-2/1/02) 83 12 5 =100 (10/11-12/01) 88 8 4 =100 (9/20-21/01) 86 10 4 =100 (9/13-14/01) 82 11 7 =100 (8/25-9/5/01) 51 34 15 =100 (3) Full trendtime from 1/04 to present; earlier trends selected. Approval figures for 8/25 - 9/5/01 from Pew Research Center. 4. As you may know, the Constitution prevents George W. Bush from running for a third term in 2008. Do you think Bush can be an effective president during his last two years in office, OR that he won't be able to get much done for the rest of his second term? Total Rep Dem Ind 33 Can be effective 69 12 31 56 Won't be able to get much done 23 78 58 11 Don't know 8 10 11 100 100 100 100 5. Which of the following outcomes would you most like to see for this year's Congressional elections? Would you rather see ... (RESPONSE CATEGORIES ROTATED) the Republicans keep control of Congress or the Democrats win enough seats to take over Congress? Reps Keep Control Dems Take Over DK Current Total 32 55 13 =100 Republicans 84 9 7 =100 Democrats 2 93 5 =100 Independents 27 52 21 =100 Trends (Total) (10/5-6/06) 35 53 12 =100 (8/10-11/06) 34 53 13 =100 (5/11-12/06) 35 52 13 =100 (3/16-17/06) 34 50 16 =100 6. In deciding your vote for Congress this year, which ONE of the following issues is most important to you...(READ AND ROTATE 1-6, THEN READ 7) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Total 10/5-6/06 8/10-11/06 31 The situation in Iraq 33 22 18 The economy 20 18 16 Health care 12 15 13 Terrorism 12 14 7 Gas and oil prices 6 12 7 Immigration 9 9 2 OR local issues in your area 4 5 2 Other/None of these (VOL.) 1 2 4 Don't know 3 3 100 100 100 7. In general, which of the following do you think is the better situation... (READ 1-3, IN ORDER) Current 11/2-4/96 5/92 (4) (5) 21 If a president's political party also has a controlling majority in Congress 32 26 24 If one party controls the White House while the other controls Congress 27 23 49 Doesn't matter much either way 36 40 6 Don't know 5 11 100 100 100 (4) 1996 trend results based on registered voters who planned to vote in the presidential election. (5) 1992 trend results from Gallup for Times Mirror survey, based on adults 18 8. On another subject ... Please tell me which political party...the Republicans or the Democrats you trust to do a better job handling each of the following. (ORDER OF PARTIES ROTATED) (First,) what about...(INSERT ITEMS--READ AND RANDOMIZE)? Which party do you trust to do a better job handling this issue... Reps Dems Both Neither DK a. The war against terrorism at home and abroad Current Total 40 40 5 9 6 =100 Republicans 86 5 3 4 2 =100 Democrats 9 74 6 5 6 =100 Independents 40 34 5 14 7 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 37 44 2 7 10 =100 (8/10-11/06) 44 39 4 6 7 =100 (10/24-25/02) 47 24 9 8 12 =100 (8/2-9/1/02)(6) 51 26 7 5 11 =100 b. The situation in Iraq Current Total 34 46 3 10 7 =100 Republicans 77 11 4 5 3 =100 Democrats 6 80 1 5 8 =100 Independents 34 40 4 15 7 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 34 47 1 9 9 =100 (8/10-11/06) 39 45 1 7 8 =100 (10/24-25/02)(7) 43 28 7 7 15 =100 c. The economy Current Total 35 50 3 5 7 =100 Republicans 81 11 3 2 3 =100 Democrats 7 84 2 1 6 =100 Independents 33 44 4 11 8 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 31 53 2 7 7 =100 (8/10-11/06) 34 53 1 7 5 =100 (10/24-25/02) 38 37 7 7 11 =100 (8/2-9/1/02) 40 40 4 7 9 =100 d. Health care Current Total 24 57 3 9 7 =100 Republicans 60 22 3 7 8 =100 Democrats 3 89 2 3 3 =100 Independents 22 54 2 15 7 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 24 57 2 8 9 =100 (8/10-11/06) 26 56 2 9 7 =100 e. Immigration Current Total 34 40 4 11 11 =100 Republicans 68 11 5 8 8 =100 Democrats 15 68 2 6 9 =100 Independents 32 35 6 15 12 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 34 43 3 9 11 =100 (8/10-11/06) 37 39 2 9 13 =100 f. Gas and oil prices Current Total 24 53 3 12 8 =100 Republicans 58 21 3 13 5 =100 Democrats 6 81 2 5 6 =100 Independents 20 49 4 18 9 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 23 56 2 11 8 =100 (8/10-11/06) 25 52 2 13 8 =100 g. Federal spending and the deficit Current Total 29 52 3 8 8 =100 Republicans 68 17 4 7 4 =100 Democrats 7 84 2 2 5 =100 Independents 26 47 4 14 9 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 29 53 2 8 8 =100 (8/10-11/06) 29 53 2 10 6 =100 h. Moral values Current Total 37 41 4 11 7 =100 Republicans 83 6 4 5 2 =100 Democrats 11 72 4 6 7 =100 Independents 33 36 5 17 9 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 36 42 4 10 8 =100 (8/2-9/1/02) 44 31 5 10 10 =100 (6) August 2002 trends results from PSRAI for Kaiser Family Foundation/Harvard/Washington Post poll. (7) October 2002 trends wording read "The issue of war with Iraq." 9. Now, as I read you some phrases, tell me if you think each one better describes ... (RESPONSE CATEGORIES ROTATED) the Republican Party and its leaders OR the Democratic Party and its leaders? Rep. Dem. Both Neither DK Party Party (8) a. Able to manage the federal government well Current Total 31 47 4 12 6 =100 Republicans 71 12 5 8 4 =100 Democrats 8 81 2 4 5 =100 Independents 28 38 5 20 9 =100 Trends (5/11-12/06) 30 47 4 12 7 =100 (7/8-18/04) 37 40 4 9 10 =100 (8/27-9/8/98) 37 32 8 12 11 =100 (8/7-10/97) 39 33 4 16 8 =100 (7/25-28/96) 45 32 4 12 7 =100 b. Can bring about the kind of changes this country needs Current Total 30 50 4 10 6 =100 Republicans 74 13 6 5 2 =100 Democrats 4 89 1 2 4 =100 Independents 29 39 5 21 6 =100 Trends (5/11-12/06) 30 53 3 8 6 =100 (7/8-18/04) 35 46 3 7 9 =100 (8/27-9/8/98) 34 40 7 8 11 =100 (3/25-29/98) 32 45 7 8 8 =100 (8/7-10/97) 38 40 4 11 7 =100 (7/25-28/96) 39 46 2 7 6 =100 c. Is concerned with the needs of people like you Current Total 26 56 4 10 4 =100 Republicans 71 16 5 6 2 =100 Democrats 3 89 2 4 2 =100 Independents 19 55 5 16 5 =100 Trends (5/11-12/06) 31 54 3 7 5 =100 (7/8-18/04) 30 50 5 8 7 =100 (8/27-9/8/98) 31 46 5 9 9 =100 (3/25-29/98) 30 51 4 8 7 =100 (8/7-10/97) 31 49 3 10 7 =100 (7/25-28/96) 35 50 2 7 6 =100 d. Governs in an honest and ethical way Current Total 27 39 6 22 6 =100 Republicans 66 7 9 15 3 =100 Democrats 6 72 4 13 5 =100 Independents 23 30 7 33 7 =100 Trends (5/11-12/06) 29 41 6 17 7 =100 (7/8-18/04) 34 37 5 15 9 =100 (8/27-9/8/98) 31 28 6 23 12 =100 (3/25-29/98) 28 32 7 24 9 =100 (8/7-10/97) 28 33 5 26 8 =100 (7/25-28/96) 38 37 2 18 5 =100 (8) Both equally and Neither are volunteered response categories. 10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi, who is in line to become speaker if the Democrats win enough seats in November to control the U.S. House of Representatives? Current Rep Dem Ind 25 Favorable 7 42 20 26 Unfavorable 47 10 29 26 Never heard of her (VOL.) 26 25 26 23 Don't know 20 23 25 100 100 100 100 11. As I read you some things the Democrats might do over the next two years if they take control of Congress, please tell me if you think each should be one of their TOP priorities, a lower priority, or should not be done at all. Top Lower Not DK priority priority done a. New rules to limit the influence of lobbyists Current Total 52 29 9 10 =100 Republicans 50 36 8 6 =100 Democrats 53 27 8 12 =100 Independents 55 25 11 9 =100 b. Enacting all the recommendations of the 9/11 commission Current Total 52 30 7 11 =100 Republicans 53 27 9 11 =100 Democrats 53 32 6 9 =100 Independents 52 31 7 10 =100 c. Increasing the minimum wage Current Total 68 21 9 2 =100 Republicans 53 28 16 3 =100 Democrats 81 16 3 * =100 Independents 66 24 9 1 =100 d. Allowing the government to negotiate directly with pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices for seniors Current Total 74 18 6 2 =100 Republicans 70 21 6 3 =100 Democrats 80 14 4 2 =100 Independents 72 19 8 1 =100 e. Broadening the kinds of stem cell research that can receive federal funding Current Total 44 31 19 6 =100 Republicans 30 34 32 4 =100 Democrats 54 29 10 7 =100 Independents 45 31 18 6 =100 f. Rolling back some of the Bush tax cuts Current Total 38 28 28 6 =100 Republicans 14 28 52 6 =100 Democrats 58 27 10 5 =100 Independents 34 31 28 7 =100 g. Investigating government contracts in Iraq Current Total 58 29 8 5 =100 Republicans 45 44 7 4 =100 Democrats 67 22 7 4 =100 Independents 58 28 10 4 =100 h. Investigating questions about the decision to go to war with Iraq Current Total 52 25 19 4 =100 Republicans 28 36 31 5 =100 Democrats 68 17 11 4 =100 Independents 53 26 19 2 =100 i. Investigating charges of impropriety or wrong-doing by members of Congress Current Total 62 27 7 4 =100 Republicans 51 35 10 4 =100 Democrats 66 25 5 4 =100 Independents 66 26 6 2 =100 j. Impeaching George W. Bush Current Total 28 23 44 5 =100 Republicans 5 15 78 2 =100 Democrats 47 25 23 5 =100 Independents 27 26 44 3 =100 12. Now turning to the topic of Iraq... All in all, do you think the United States is making progress or losing ground in its efforts to establish security and democracy in Iraq? Making progress Losing ground DK Current Total 25 65 10 =100 Trends (10/5-6/06) 29 64 7 =100 (8/10-11/06) 31 58 11 =100 (9/8-9/05) 40 49 11 =100 (8/2-4/05) 40 50 10 =100 13. From what you know now, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or not? Yes No DK Current Total 39 54 7 =100 Trends(10) (10/5-6/06) 41 53 6 =100 (8/10-11/06) 49 47 4 =100 (9/8-9/05) 46 49 5 =100 (10/27-29/04) RVs(11) 51 45 4 =100 (9/2-3/04) RVs 55 38 7 =100 (5/13-14/04) 51 43 6 =100 (4/8-9/04) 57 39 4 =100 (3/25-26/04) 55 41 4 =100 (3/18-19/04) 57 37 6 =100 (1/29-30/04) 55 39 6 =100 (12/18-19/03) 62 32 6 =100 (11/6-7/03) 55 38 7 =100 (10/23-24/03) 59 34 7 =100 (10/9-10/03) 56 37 7 =100 (9/11-12/03) 64 31 5 =100 (8/21-22/03) 61 33 6 =100 (7/24-25/03) 68 28 4 =100 (10) Trends wording for 2005 read "From what you know now, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq two years ago, or not?". Trend wording for 2004 read "....against Iraq last year, or not?" (11) September and October 2004 trend results based on registered voters. 14. For how long would you personally support keeping large numbers of U.S. military personnel in Iraq ... (READ) Current 10/5-6/06 8/10-11/06 9/8-9/05 8/2-4/05 44 Total less than a year/Bring home now 45 38 45 50 18 One to two years 19 18 19 13 6 Three to five years 4 7 6 5 1 Six to 10 years * 1 1 1 * More than 10 years 1 1 * * 26 As long as it takes 26 30 25 26 5 Don't know 5 5 4 5 100 100 100 100 100 15. Turning to a different topic... Have you seen or heard any news about NORTH KOREA and its nuclear weapons program, or not? 88 Yes 11 No 1 Don't know 100 16. Some people think the United States should agree to DIRECT one-on-one talks with North Korea, since the six-country talks in which the U.S. has participated have not had much success in curbing North Korea's nuclear ambitions. Others oppose direct talks at this time, saying this would reward North Korea for bad behavior after last week's nuclear test. Which comes closer to your view? 50 Should agree to direct talks 34 Direct talks would reward bad behavior 16 Don't know 100 17. Please tell me whether or not you would support the following kinds of U.S. military action against North Korea if that country continues its efforts to develop nuclear weapons. (First,) what about...(READ ITEMS IN ORDER)? (Would you support this kind of military action against North Korea or not?) Would Would DK support not a. Stopping and searching North Korean ships for nuclear materials or arms Current Total 70 23 7 =100 b. Air strikes against military targets and suspected nuclear sites in North Korea Current Total 35 58 7 =100 c. Sending in U.S. ground troops to take control of the country Current Total 14 80 6 =100 18. Have you seen or heard any news about IRAN and its nuclear weapons program, or not? 62 Yes 36 No 2 Don't know 100 19. Please tell me whether or not you would support the following kinds of U.S. military action against Iran if that country continues its efforts to develop nuclear weapons. (First,) what about...(READ ITEMS IN ORDER)? (Would you support this kind of military action against Iran or not?) Would Would DK support not a. Air strikes against military targets and suspected nuclear sites in Iran Current Total 38 54 8 =100 b. Sending in U.S. ground troops to take control of the country Current Total 18 76 6 =100 D2. Now I have just a few more questions so we can describe the people who took part in our survey ... Regardless of how you might have voted in recent elections, in politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent? Total RVs LVs 26 Republican 27 26 37 Democrat 38 43 33 Independent 30 28 1 No party/Not interested in politics (VOL.) 1 1 * Other party (VOL.) 1 * 3 Don't know 3 2 100 100 100 END OF INTERVIEW. THANK RESPONDENT: That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your cooperation.
Source: Newsweek CONTACT: Natalia Labenskyj, 1-212-445-4078
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